Tag: ICPT

Top Short Squeeze Plays

by Fred Fuld III

The stock market has been suffering during the last several days. As I write this, the Dow Jones Industrial  Average is down 528, and the SPY is down 5.85. Since the market has dropped so much, now might be the time to look for short squeeze opportunities.

Here is a quick review about the short squeeze and its terminology. When you short a stock, it means that your goal is to make money from a drop in the price of a stock. Technically, what happens is that you borrow shares of a stock, sell those shares, then buy back those shares at a hopefully lower price so that those shares can be returned. This all happens electronically, so you don’t actually see all the borrowing and returning of shares; it just shows up on your screen as a negative number of shares.

Short selling can be profitable, but sometimes when the stock moves against the short sellers, and begins to rise, the short sellers jump in right away to buy shares to cover their positions, creating what is called a short squeeze. When a short squeeze takes place, it can cause the share prices to increase fast and furiously. Any good news can trigger the short squeeze.

Some traders utilize this situation by looking for stocks to buy that may have a potential short squeeze. Here is what a short squeeze trader should take into consideration:

Short Percentage of Float ~ The float is the number of freely tradable shares and the short percentage is the number of shares held short divided by the float. Amounts over 10% to 20% are considered high and potential short squeeze plays.

Short Ratio / Days to Cover / Short Interest Ratio -This is probably the most important metric when looking for short squeeze trades, no matter what you call it. This is the number of days it would take the short sellers to cover their position based on the average daily volume of shares traded. This is a significant ratio as it shows how “stuck” the short sellers are when they want to buy in their shares without driving up the price too much. Unfortunately for the shortsellers, the longer the number of days to cover, the bigger and longer the squeeze.

Short Percentage Increase ~ This is the percentage increase in in the number of short sellers from the previous month.

Check out the following list, but be aware, that often some stocks are heavily shorted for a reason. All these stocks have significant short metrics, but they have very low market caps and floats.

Company Symbol Short Interest Days to Cover Float
Cortexyme Inc CRTX 59% 4.7 15.54M
Intercept Pharmaceuticals ICPT 35% 10.5 23.58M
Blink Charging Co BLNK 34% 3.9 36.46M
Beyond Meat Inc BYND 34% 6.2 56.16M
iSpecimen Inc ISPC 33% 0.2 3.27M
Gogo Inc GOGO 32% 6.9 45.67M

So as an example, Cortexyme has 59% of the float shorted, and it will take almost five days for the short sellers to cover their positions, based on the average daily volume.

Obviously, there is no guarantee that these stocks will go up, but if I was short any stock, I wouldn’t want to waste any time covering my position if the stock started to move up sharply, before all the other short sellers clamor in and drive the price way up.

Disclosure: Author didn’t own any of the above at the time the article was written

Top Biotech Short Squeeze Plays

One of the most volatile industries is biotechnology, which makes biotech stocks a favorite of stock traders.

One trading technique is buying short squeeze stocks. Here is what a short squeeze stock is and what a short squeeze is.

When you short a stock, it means that you expect to make money from a drop in the price of a stock. Technically what happens is that you borrow shares of a stock, sell those shares, then buy back those shares at a hopefully lower price so that those shares can be returned. Of course, this all happens electronically, you don’t actually see all the borrowing and returning of shares; it just shows up on your computer screen as a negative number of shares.

Short sellers can make a lot of money, but sometimes when the stock moves against them, the stock starts to move up, and the short sellers jump in at once to buy shares to cover their position. This is called a short squeeze. When a short squeeze takes place, it can cause the stock to rise fast and hard. Any type of positive news can trigger the short squeeze.

So other traders take advantage of this situation buy looking for stocks to buy that may have a potential short squeeze. Here is what they look for:

  • Short Percentage of Float ~ The float is the number of freely tradable shares and the short percentage is the number of shares held short divided by the float. Amounts over 10% to 20% are considered high, and potential short squeeze plays.
  • Short Ratio / Days to Cover / Short Interest Ratio -This is probably the most important metric when looking for short squeeze trades, no matter what you call it. This is the number of days it would take the short sellers to cover their position based on the average daily volume of shares traded. This is a significant ratio as it shows how “stuck” the short sellers are when they want to buy in their shares without driving up the price too much. Unfortunately for the shortsellers, the longer the number of days to cover, the bigger and longer the squeeze.
  • Short Percentage Increase ~ This is the percentage increase in in the number of short sellers from the previous month.

Here are some stocks that are heavily shorted that may warrant a closer look. Remember that some stocks are heavily shorted for a reason.

Aduro Biotech (ADRO) has 25% of the float shorted, and a short interest ratio, also known as days to cover, of 14.7. This means that based on the current average daily volume, it would take almost 15 days for short sellers to cover their positions.

Agios Pharmaceuticals (AGIO) has 22% of the float shorted, with a days to cover ratio of 11.

Intercept Pharmaceuticals (ICPT) has a short interest ratio of 9.1 and 24% of the float shorted.

Opko Health (OPK) has 20% of the float shorted, with a short interest ratio of 22.2.

Hopefully, you can make a short term profit on short squeeze stocks.

Disclosure: Author didn’t own any of the above at the time the article was written.