January Bounce Follow-up

by Fred Fuld III

Last month, I came up with a list of half a dozen stocks that might benefit from the January Effect.

The January Effect is the historical tendency for stock prices, especially small-cap stocks, to rise in the first month of the new year due to depressed prices from heavy selling in the previous month of December.

The selling is due to investors wanting to take tax losses before the end of the year.

The stocks I came up with had the following criteria:

• Stocks down over 75% for the year
• Selling below book value
• Selling below cash per share
• Market caps above $65 million
• US based

The list below show shows the company name, the stock symbol, and the industry:

Atyr PharmaATYRBiotech
Korro BioKRROBiotech
New Fortress EnergyNFEOil & Gas
Pliant TherapeuticsPLRXBiotech
Vivid SeatsSEATInternet
Teads HoldingTEADInternet

Finally, the results below shows what would happen if you had sold the stocks on January 5, the first trading day after New Year’s week, or January 9, if you had waited until the end of that first full week of the year to sell:

12/16/2501/05/26% incr.01/09/26% incr.
Atyr Pharma0.730.752.74%0.730.00%
Korro Bio7.787.911.67%9.4221.08%
New Fortress Energy1.081.145.56%1.189.26%
Pliant Therapeutics1.231.251.63%1.359.76%
Vivid Seats6.497.3312.94%6.967.24%
Teads Holding0.660.683.03%0.63-4.55%
AVERAGE % INCR.4.59%7.13%

Not too bad a return for a three to four week holding.

Disclosure: Author didn’t own and doesn’t own any of the above. No investment recommendations are expressed or implied.