Should You Shine On Silver? Examining the Benefits and Investment Options

Unveiling the Precious Metal’s Potential in Your Portfolio

Silver, the lustrous metal, has captivated investors for centuries. But beyond its beauty, silver offers a unique blend of potential benefits for your portfolio. Let’s explore why you might consider adding silver to your investment mix, and then delve into the various ways to hold this precious metal.

The Allure of Silver

  • Diversification: Silver’s price movements tend to have a low correlation to stocks and bonds. This means it can act as a hedge, potentially offsetting losses in other parts of your portfolio during economic downturns.
  • Inflation Hedge: Silver, like gold, has historically held its value well against inflation. As the cost of living rises, silver’s price may follow suit, protecting your purchasing power.
  • Industrial Demand: Silver’s industrial applications in solar panels, electronics, and medical devices create a constant demand stream, potentially influencing its price positively.
  • Potential for Growth: Silver’s supply is finite, while demand is expected to rise, particularly in developing economies. This imbalance could lead to price appreciation in the long run.
  • Affordable Entry Point: Compared to gold, silver offers a more accessible entry point for investors starting with precious metals.

Silver Investment Options: Weighing the Pros and Cons

  • PHYSICAL SILVER (Bullion & Coins):
    • Pros: Tangible ownership, no counterparty risk, potential for collector’s value (for certain coins).
    • Cons: Storage costs, insurance considerations, potential difficulty selling quickly.
  • SILVER MINING STOCKS:
    • Pros: Potential for higher returns due to leverage on the silver price, diversification within the precious metals sector.
    • Cons: Higher risk compared to physical silver, volatility associated with the company’s performance.
  • SILVER ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds):
    • Pros: Low storage costs, fractional shares allow for easier investment amounts, high liquidity.
    • Cons: You don’t own physical silver, expense ratios can eat into returns, counterparty risk associated with the ETF issuer.

      The most popular silver ETF is the iShares Silver Trust (SLV), which has an objective of tracking the price of silver.

A Word about Silver Coins and Authenticity

All three of the above items are FAKE!


Be careful about buying silver coins, as there are many fakes being distributed. These are not just the coins with numismatic value but also the so-called junk silver coins and even the bullion coins (silver rounds).

Fortunately, there are several ways of checking whether a coin is genuine or not. One simple way is to use a phone app called CoinTester. It measures the sound of the ping when the coin is hit with an object, like a pencil.

First, you choose the type of coin. (Note: If you are checking a silver dollar, for Keyword, just type Dollar, not Silver Dollar.) You place the coin on your fingertip, tap Check on the app, then hit the coin a few times with something that won’t damage the coin (I use the wooden part of a pencil.) If is shows a 0 or 1 out of 3, it means the coin is a fake. If it shows a 2 or a 3 out of three, the coin is real.

Just remember that all tests for coins aren’t foolproof. The best approach is to buy from a very reputable coin dealer.

Many numismatic coins are slabbed. In numismatics (the study or collection of coins), “slabbed” refers to the process of encapsulating a coin in a hard plastic holder, often called a slab. These slabs are usually sealed and graded by a professional coin grading service. The purpose of slabbing coins is to protect them from damage and to provide an objective assessment of their condition and authenticity.

When a coin is slabbed, it is typically accompanied by a label indicating its grade, which is determined based on factors such as wear, luster, strike quality, and any imperfections. This grading process helps collectors and investors assess the value of the coin and provides assurance about its authenticity and condition.

Slabbed coins are often considered more desirable for collectors and investors because they come with a trusted third-party evaluation, reducing the risk of buying counterfeit or over-graded coins.

The Final Shine

Silver offers a compelling option for investors seeking diversification, inflation protection, and potential growth. Carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance when choosing between physical silver, mining stocks, or ETFs. Remember, a well-rounded portfolio is key, and silver can be a bright addition to the mix.

Silver as a Hedge Against Inflation: Top Silver Stocks

by Fred Fuld III

Gold and silver have historically been considered a flight to safety, especially during times of high inflation and economic uncertainty. Silver has outpaced inflation during certain time frames.

One of the advantages of silver over gold is that the metal is less expensive, making it more affordable to smaller investors. In addition, silver has far more commercial and industrial uses than gold.

There are several ways to invest in silver. Here are the primary alternatives.

Silver Bullion

You can buy silver bars and rounds in various sizes and weights. They may be produced by the United States government or by private mints. They are easily identifiable and fairly convenient to purchase though coin shops or online gold and silver dealers. You obviously have to be concerned about storage safety do to the potential for theft.

Junk Silver

Junk silver refers to U.S. dimes, quarters, and half dollars minted in 1964 or early, which ere made with 90% silver. These coins have little to no numismatic value, making them a reasonable and simple way of accumulating silver at a reasonable price. Junk silver is available from numerous coin and bullion dealers.

Silver ETF

If you want to invest in silver directly without taking physical ownership, the best way is though a silver exchange traded fund, such as the iShares Silver Trust (SLV). This ETF can be bought and sold just like any stock, without having to worry about storage.

Silver Stocks

There are several companies that specialize in primarily mining for silver. Most of these are Canadian companies, and three of them pay dividends.

First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG), which trades on the NYSE, has a market capitalization  of $2.43 billion. The stock has a high trailing price to earnings ratio of 67.7 but a forward P/E ratio of 18.6. Earnings per share for next year are expected to be up 218.8%. The stock pays a small dividend of 0.21%.

Pan American Silver (PAAS) trades on NASDAQ. It has mines in mines in Canada, Mexico, Peru, Argentina, and Bolivia. This $5.24 billion market cap stock trades at 52.6 times trailing earnings and 18.8 times forward earnings. Estimated earnings per share for next year are expected to increase by 35.96%. The company pays a decent dividend yield of 1.97%.

Silvercorp Metals (SVM) is a smaller company, with a market cap of $524.5 million. The company’s mining properties are in China and Mexico. The company has several mines in Mexico, and interests in one mine in Canada. The stock has a very favorable trailing P/E ratio of 15.5, and an a better forward P/E of 10. Just this year, earnings per share jumped by 33%. The dividend for this stock is 1.97%.

Silver Mining ETFs

A diversified way to invest in silver mining companies is through an ETF. The most  popular are Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL), ETFMG Prime Junior Silver Miners ETF (SILJ), and iShares MSCI Global Silver and Metals Miners ETF (SLVP).

Maybe one of these investments may give you a sterling portfolio.

 

Disclosure: Author didn’t own any of the above at the time the article was written.

8 Ways to Trade or Invest in Gold in an Inflationary Environment

by Fred Fuld III

You have seen the headlines during the last several months. You have noticed the price increases on Amazon (AMZN), in your supermarket, and even at the dollar stores (which should probably now be called the $1.25 stores). Have you considered using gold as an inflation hedge?

Inflation Headlines

Inflation is here and it’s getting worse. Investors and traders that understand this are now looking for ways to profit from inflation.

Of course no one expects hyperinflation, as was seen in Zimbabwe in 2008. Zimbabwe 100 trillion

In Zimbabwe, the country’s peak month of inflation is estimated at 79.6 billion percent month over month, and 89.7 sextillion percent year over year in mid-November of 2008. That’s an inflation rate in numerical terms of 89,000,000,000,000,000,000,000%.

Zimbabwe $100 billion for 3 eggs

Back then, it cost billions of dollars just to buy basic food items. Inflation was so bad that  the country allowed currencies from other countries to be used in April 2009. In 2015, Zimbabwe switched to the U.S. dollar as its national currency.

In 2019, Zimbabwe reintroduced the Zimbabwe dollar, but unfortunately, hyperinflation has hit the country again, measuring 737% last year.

So what is a trader and investor to do? Here are several ways to make gold work for you.

Gold

Gold has long been considered a primary inflation hedge. Over the last 20 years, the price of gold has increased by 597%, which works out to an annualized return of 10.19%. Taking inflation into consideration, gold has gone up by 335%, or 7.622% annualized.

Many studies have shown that gold has provided superior returns during times of inflation. In addition, according to a study at the Stern School of Business at New York University, “overall gold by itself is a safe haven with respect to exhibiting lower volatility in response to shocks or negative return days.”

The big question is, if you want to invest in gold, how should you do it?

Physical Gold

Physical gold means gold that you can hold in your hot little hands. This could either be gold bullion or gold coins.

Gold Bullion

Gold Bars

Gold bullion is sometimes referred to as gold bars, similar to the bars in Fort Knox. They can be as small as one gram or as large as  400 ounces (27.5 pounds).

The big advantage of gold bullion is privacy. Bullion bars can be kept anywhere: a home safe, a safe deposit box, or in the ground. Another advantage is that bullion is generally less expensive than gold coins, even bullion gold coins.

Gold Bullion Coins

Gold bullion coins are coins that are issued by governments with a very high gold content, but very little or no numismatic value, but are issued as legal tender. In other words, they sell for very close to the price of gold. These coins include the American Gold Eagle and the Canadian Maple Leaf.

Maple Leaf

These coins also have the benefit of privacy, but they are also issued in various denominations, making them easier to trade. For example, if you have a one ounce gold bar but you want to sell one quarter of the gold, you would be stuck. However, you do have the ability to own four American Eagle quarter-ounce gold coins, or even ten 1/10th ounce coins.

Many investors believe that the gold coins have better liquidity than bullion. However, the premium on gold coins is higher than the premium on bullion, and the smaller the denomination of the coin, the higher the premium.

Numismatic Gold Coins

Numismatic gold coins are coins which have value due to their scarcity, physical appearance, condition, and many other factors. They are collected by coin collectors.

Double Eagle
National Numismatic Collection, National Museum of American History

The big advantage is that the value of these coins can increase far more than the value of gold, and can even go up in price if the gold price stays the same or even drops. They are less liquid than bullion coins and have a much bigger spread (the price at which you pay for the coin versus what you can sell it for). The other disadvantage is that the coins have a much higher premium than bullion coins.

There is one big estate tax advantage to owning U.S. numismatic gold coins. Talk to your accountant about it. It is currently legal and above board as far as I know, but I am not an accountant or tax attorney. Consult yours.

Gold Securities

Gold ETFs

Gold ETFs are Exchange Traded Funds that have a goal of tracking the price of gold. There are many of them including SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), iShares Gold Trust (IAU), and SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM).

There are even some leveraged gold ETFs, such as ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL), which has a goal of providing twice the daily leverage of gold prices.

Gold Mining Stocks

There are many gold mining companies to choose from. The smaller companies are referred to as junior miners (not minor miners). Some of the bigger ones include Newmont Mining (NEM), Barrick Gold (GOLD),AngloGold Ashanti (AU), and Kinross Gold (KGC).

Gold Royalty Trusts

Gold Royalty Trusts do not do any mining. What they do is provide money to mining companies in return for receiving a stream of income based on a percentage of revenues or percentage of gold production.

Some of the biggest gold trusts are Franco-Nevada (FNV), Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM), Royal Gold (RGLD), and Osisko Gold Royalties (OR).

Gold Miners ETFs

Gold Miners ETFs are Exchange Traded Funds that invest in gold mining stocks. VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) is the largest of these ETFs. VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) holds the smaller (junior) mining companies. Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 2x Shares (NUGT) is a double bullish ETF.

Gold Futures

One other way to invest in gold, which is the most speculative way, is through gold futures. These are exchange-traded contracts to buy or sell a specific amount of gold in the future at a specified price. The returns can be substantial but so are the risks, as your losses can far exceed the original investment that you put up.

How Much Should You Invest in Gold

Many financial advisors recommend that you hold a small amount of gold, up to 5% to 10% of your portfolio as a hedge. Hopefully, gold will make your portfolio sparkle and shine.

Disclosure: Author is long AMZN, GLD, WPM, and OR.

Advantages of Gold Royalty Trusts

by Fred Fuld III

Have you ever thought about investing in gold mining companies but were concerned about the risks and lack of dividend income? You may want to consider investing in gold royalty trusts as an alternative.

Gold royalty trusts provide funds to mining company which need a large amount of capital to run their mining operations. In return, the royalty trusts receive a percentage of the gold revenues. The trusts can fund many different mining companies to provide diversification and often buy gold royalty contracts from other companies.

Some trusts also use precious metals streaming, which is when a company makes an agreement with a mining company to purchase all or part of their precious metals production at a predetermined discounted price.

So some of the main benefits of gold royalty trusts are:

  • Income
  • Inflation hedge
  • Portfolio diversification of royalty contracts
  • Gold diversification from bullion, coins, and mining companies
  • Possible tax benefits for the dividends
  • Avoidance of the risks of mining companies
  • Significantly lower expenses due to small number of employees for the trust versus the large employe expenditures for the mining companies
  • Liquidity

Here are some examples of gold and silver royalty trusts that may be worth further investigation for you hard assets and/or income portfolio.

Franco-Nevada (FNV) is a Toronto, Ontario, Canada based owner of royalties and streams, and which trades on the New York Stock Exchange. The company has a market cap of $28.4 billion and pays a dividend yield of 0.78%.  Dividends are paid quarterly and have increased every year since 2014. The stock trades at 48 times trailing earnings and 44 times forward earnings. Over the last three years, revenues have grown by 15%, operating income has increased by 36%, and net income has gone up by 19%.

Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM), based in Vancouver, Canada, specializes in silver metal streaming, and has a market cap of $21 billion. Some of the companies that Wheaton has contracts with include Barrick Gold (GOLD) and Goldcorp (now part of Newmont (NEM)). Wheaton has a yield of 1.03%, with dividends paid quarterly. The latest dividend was increased by 7.7%. The stock has trailing price to earnings ratio of 37 and a forward P/E of 32.

Royal Gold (RGLD), based in Denver, Colorado and trades on the NASDAQ, provides a yield of 0.94%. Dividends were increased by 7.1% this year, and have increased every year since 2004. It is an $8.3 billion company with a trailing P/E of 31 and a forward P/E of 33.

Sandstorm Gold (SAND), based in Vancouver, has a market cap of $1.7 billion. It has a trailing P/E of 57 and a forward P/E of 56. Currently, there is no dividend.

For a list of more than half a dozen gold and silver royalty trusts along with their yields and other information, click HERE.

Hopefully, one of these gold royalty trusts will help you strike it rich.

Disclosure: Author has a long position in WPM and SAND.

 

Dr. Mark Skousen Exclusive Interview: the Stock Market, Bitcoin, GameStop, Gold, & Bear Markets

by Fred Fuld III

The following informative interview was provided by Dr. Mark Skousen, a financial economist, editor of the Forecasts & Strategies financial newsletter since 1980, and Presidential Fellow at Chapman University, where he recently received the “Most Favorite Professor” Award.  He is also the producer of FreedomFest, “the world’s largest gathering of free minds.”  He is the author of several books, including The Maxims of Wall Street, now in its 10th edition.

We cover a lot in this interview, including:

  • The Future of the Stock Market
  • Bear Markets
  • Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency, & Blockchain
  • GameStop
  • Young Traders
  • Gold Bullion vs. Gold Stocks
  • Silver
  • Inflation
  • Interest Rates
  • The Technology Sector
  • And much, much more

He even gives the name of a gold mining stock that he likes, which trades for less than $5 a share and pays a yield of over 3%! 

The Dr. Mark Skousen Interview
Enjoy listening to the great insights and information that Dr. Skousen provides:

To stream the interview, click:

HERE

It is a long interview, so it may take a few seconds to load. You can also download the interview as an mp3 by right-clicking (or Control clicking) HERE and choosing “save as.”

Books by Dr. Mark Skousen

Please note that all of Dr. Skousen’s books can be ordered directly from SkousenBooks.com, and they will be autographed and delivered with free shipping.

The Maxims of Wall Street – New 10th Anniversary Edition

A Viennese Waltz Down Wall Street

The Making of Modern Economics

EconoPower: How a New Generation of Economists is Transforming the World

His other books can be found at SkousenBooks.com.

Forecasts and Strategies

Information about the Forecasts and Strategies Newsletter and the trading services can be found at MarkSkousen.com.

Enjoy the interview and Happy Investing!

 

All opinions are those of Dr. Mark Skousen, and do not represent the opinions of this site or the interviewer. Neither this site, nor the interviewer, nor the interviewee are rendering tax, legal, or investment advice in this interview.

 

 

 

 

Top Silver Stocks: 10 Reasons Why Silver Should Go Up

by Fred Fuld III

Unless you haven’t watched TV or looked at the news on the Internet, you already know about the short squeezes taking place in such stocks as GameStop (GME), AMC (AMC), Nokia (NOK), and Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY).

If you pay any attention to the stock tweets on Twitter (TWTR), you will notice that silver got caught up in all the hype, especially the iShares Silver Trust ETF (SLV) and the Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV).

If you are looking at silver and silver mining stocks as a long term investment, it is not the short squeeze that you should take into consideration. There are actually ten reasons for investors to be bullish on silver.

  1. It is a major component of solar panels.
  2. It is a major component of electric cars.
  3. It is used in electrical components for all automobiles.
  4. Because gold has become relatively expensive, demand for silver in the jewelry industry is increasing.
  5. The U.S. Government is flooding the economy with money, making the dollar worth less and silver worth more.
  6. Governments around the world continue to mint numismatic silver coins.
  7. Silver is used in healthcare products.
  8. It is used in water purification.
  9. Interest rates are very low.
  10. Limited supply and strong demand.

If you are looking for a mining stock, here are a few to choose from.

Stock Symbol Country Market Cap P/E ratio
First Majestic Silver Corp. AG Canada 4.89B
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. ASM Canada 162.13M
Endeavour Silver Corp. EXK Canada 900.73M
Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. FSM Peru 1.68B 75
MAG Silver Corp. MAG Canada 1.90B
Pan American Silver Corp. PAAS Canada 7.36B 253
Silvercorp Metals Inc. SVM Canada 1.34B 35

One of the stocks, Pan American Silver, pays a dividend yield of 0.77%. The company increased its dividend yield by 40% last year.

Just keep in mind that the market for precious metals and mining stocks can be very volatile. Hopefully, you can strike it rich with a silver stock.

Disclosure: Author owns SLV, EXK, and AG.