How to Spot Potential Short Squeeze Opportunities on the NASDAQ

Ever found yourself shorting a stock only to see a sudden spike, prompting an urgent need to cover your position as soon as possible?

What happened was called a Short Squeeze. Even the most seasoned traders have experienced this phenomenon. But do they really know what happened? 

A short squeeze happens when a heavily shorted stock has a shape increase in buying volume causing short sellers to close out their positions, which drives the prices higher from the covers. As you have read in a previous article about NYSE Squeezes, NASDAQ is home to many short squeezes as well. 

The most famously known NASDAQ short squeeze is GameStop (GME) in 2021. GameStock is a brick and mortar gaming merchandise retailer that had declining sales, which caused investors to heavily short the stock. GameStop had more shares sold short than the total number of shares available for trading (a situation known as a “short interest”). 

A group of retail investors on the Reddit forum r/WallStreetBets noticed that GameStop was heavily shorted and began buying the stock which started driving up the stock price. As the aggressive buying started to surge, this put pressure on the short sellers to cover their positions (buying back at higher prices to limit the losses). 

The unprecedented surge in GameStop’s stock price caused extreme volatility and attracted widespread media attention. The GameStop short squeeze had significant repercussions in the financial markets, leading to losses for some hedge funds that had heavily shorted the stock and prompting scrutiny from regulators and lawmakers. It also sparked a broader interest in retail trading and the democratization of investing. 

Some traders utilize this situation by looking for stocks to buy that may have a potential short squeeze. Here is what a short squeeze trader should take into consideration:

Short Percentage of Float refers to the proportion of shares held short divided by the total float, where the float represents freely tradable shares. A short percentage exceeding 10% to 20% is typically regarded as high and may indicate potential short squeeze opportunities.

The Short Ratio, also known as Days to Cover or Short Interest Ratio, is a crucial metric in identifying potential short squeeze opportunities. It represents the number of days it would take for short sellers to buy back their positions based on the average daily trading volume of shares. This ratio is significant because it indicates the level of difficulty short sellers face when attempting to cover their positions without significantly impacting the stock price. However, for short sellers, a higher number of days to cover implies a greater and more prolonged squeeze, increasing their potential losses.

Short Percentage Increase refers to the percentage growth in the number of short sellers compared to the preceding month.

The following are some heavily shorted NASDAQ stocks that may be worth considering for a short squeeze.

CompanyCompany SymbolShort InterestShort % ChangeShort Interest Ratio
Novavax IncNVAX41.58%5%6.4
Beyond Meat IncBYND37.86%1%7.8
Immunitybio IncIBRX36.07%7%11.4
Upstart Holdings IncUPST35.63%-11%2.6
Luminar Technologies IncLAZR35.28%13%11.6
Prime Medicine IncPRME34.06%-7%3.9
Blink Charging CoBLNK32.27%-1%2.3

The first stock on the list, Novavax Inc (NVAX) has over 41% of its float shorted, an increase of 5% over last month. The short interest ratio is 6.4, which means that it would take the short sellers over six days to cover their position, based on recent average volume. Take a look at the chart below, you can see increased volume in the past few days…

The second stock on the list, Beyond Meat Inc. (BYND) has over 37% of its float shorted, an increase of 1% over last month. The short interest ratio is 7.8, which means that it would take the short sellers over seven days to cover their position, based on recent average volume. As you can see here, it looks like BYND may have been squeezed.

The last stock on the list, Blink Charging Co. (BLNK) has over 32% of its float shorted, an decrease of 1% over last month. The short interest ratio is 2.3, which means that it would take the short sellers over two days to cover their positions, based on recent average volume. 

Although a stock may exhibit favorable ratios and attract significant short interest, it’s crucial to recognize that these factors alone do not guarantee an upward movement in its price, particularly in a bear market. Additionally, high levels of short interest in a stock could signal underlying issues or concerns that have prompted investors to bet against its performance.

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Disclosure: Author had no positions in any of the above at the time the article was written.

Top Biotech Short Squeeze Stocks

by Fred Fuld III

Last week was the worst performing of the year for stocks, so far. Especially for the biotech stocks.

This may create a buying opportunity for biotech stocks that are heavily shorted.

Do short squeeze stocks actually go up?

On August 22, 2022, I posted an article about meme related short squeeze stocks, and pointed out Bed Bath and Beyond (BBBY) after it had its big run-up. In exactly one week after the article was posted, the stock jumped by more than 43%.

Another stock that was mentioned was Intercept Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ICPT), which increased by almost 5% in just two days.

The stock with the biggest short ratio (days to cover), at 14.3 back then, was Heron Therapeutics, Inc. (HRTX). It rose by 9.5% in three days.

When you short a stock, it means that your goal is to make money from a drop in the price of a stock. Technically, what happens is that you borrow shares of a stock, sell those shares, then buy back those shares at a hopefully lower price so that those shares can be returned. This all happens electronically, so you don’t actually see all the borrowing and returning of shares; it just shows up on your screen as a negative number of shares.

Short sellers can be profitable, but sometimes when the stock moves against them, and begins to rise, the short sellers jump in right away to buy shares to cover their positions, creating what is called a short squeeze. When a short squeeze takes place, it can cause the share prices to increase fast and furiously. Any good news can trigger the short squeeze.

Some traders utilize this situation by looking for stocks to buy that may have a potential short squeeze. Here is what a short squeeze trader should take into consideration:

Short Percentage of Float ~ The float is the number of freely tradable shares and the short percentage is the number of shares held short divided by the float. Amounts over 10% to 20% are considered high and potential short squeeze plays.

Short Ratio / Days to Cover / Short Interest Ratio -This is probably the most important metric when looking for short squeeze trades, no matter what you call it. This is the number of days it would take the short sellers to cover their position based on the average daily volume of shares traded. This is a significant ratio as it shows how “stuck” the short sellers are when they want to buy in their shares without driving up the price too much. Unfortunately for the shortsellers, the longer the number of days to cover, the bigger and longer the squeeze.

Short Percentage Increase ~ This is the percentage increase in in the number of short sellers from the previous month.

The following are some heavily shorted tech stock that may be worth considering.

CompanySymbolShort % of FloatShort % ChangeShort Interest Ratio
NovavaxNVAX43% 0% 4.5
ImmunitybioIBRX29%6%14
PMV PharmaceuticalsPMVP29%-4%16.5
SpringWorks TherapeuticsSWTX30%-2%16.5

The second stock on the list, Immunitybio (IBRX), which develops  therapies and vaccines that amplify the immune system to defeat cancers and infectious diseases, has about 29% of its float shorted, an increase of 6% over last month.

The short interest ratio is 14, which means that it would take the short sellers 14 days to cover their position, based on recent average volume.

Just keep in mind that just because a stock has good earnings ratios and is heavily shorted, doesn’t mean that the stock will go up, especially in a bear market. Also, stocks that are significantly shorted may be shorted for a reason.

Disclosure: Author didn’t own any of the above at the time the article was written.