How to Buy Shares of Anthropic Before It Goes Public

by Fred Fuld III

The word “Anthropic” comes from the Greek word anthrōpos which means “human” or “humanity.”

In physics and philosophy, you might hear of the “anthropic principle”—the idea that observations of the universe must be compatible with the conscious life that observes it.

For the company, the founders chose the name as a literal statement of intent: to keep artificial intelligence centered on, aligned with, and safe for humanity. It acts as a daily reminder of their core mission, ensuring that as models grow exponentially more powerful, they remain fundamentally beneficial to human beings.

A Short History of Anthropic


1. The Great OpenAI Schism (2020)

In 2020, Dario Amodei was the Vice President of Research at OpenAI, leading the team that built groundbreaking models like GPT-2 and GPT-3. His sister, Daniela Amodei, was OpenAI’s Vice President of Safety and Policy.

As OpenAI shifted from a pure non-profit to a “capped-profit” structure and signed a massive commercial partnership with Microsoft, the Amodeis and a group of roughly five to ten top OpenAI researchers grew deeply concerned. They felt that commercial pressures were forcing OpenAI to rush powerful models to market before fully understanding how to control them—a dilemma known as the “AI alignment problem.”

2. The Launch (2021)

Unable to resolve these strategic differences, the group left OpenAI. In 2021, they founded Anthropic PBC as a Public Benefit Corporation. This specific legal structure frees them from the traditional corporate obligation to maximize shareholder profit at all costs, legally protecting their right to prioritize safety over speed.

3. Creating “Constitutional AI” (2022)

To build a safer AI, Anthropic pioneered a technique called Constitutional AI. Instead of relying entirely on human reinforcement (where humans manually read and flag thousands of toxic AI responses), they gave their AI a written “constitution”—a set of principles borrowed from documents like the Universal Declaration of Human Rights and Apple’s terms of service. They then trained the AI to critique and correct its own behavior based on those rules.

4. Claude and the Trillion-Dollar Backing (2023–Present)

In early 2023, Anthropic released its flagship chatbot, Claude, to rival ChatGPT. Claude quickly developed a reputation in the industry for possessing a massive “context window” (the amount of text it can process at once) and exhibiting a lower tendency to hallucinate.

Recognizing Anthropic as the premier alternative to OpenAI, tech giants rushed to back them. Amazon and Alphabet poured billions into the company, transforming a small group of worried researchers into a massive corporate ecosystem valued at hundreds of billions of dollars.

Anthropic is currently a private company, meaning it does not have shares available for direct purchase on public stock exchanges. However, several publicly traded companies hold significant stakes in it as investors.

Key Publicly Traded Investors

The three primary publicly traded companies with major investments in Anthropic are:

  • Amazon (AMZN): Amazon has invested billions of dollars in Anthropic. A significant portion of this investment involves providing cloud computing infrastructure via Amazon Web Services (AWS) and access to its custom AI chips. Estimates suggest Amazon holds a substantial stake, often cited in the range of 18%.
  • Alphabet (GOOG / GOOGL): Google’s parent company, Alphabet, is also a major investor. Like Amazon, Alphabet provides Anthropic with cloud computing resources (Google Cloud) and access to its specialized AI hardware. Alphabet’s stake is estimated at approximately 14%.
  • Zoom Video Communications (ZM) owns a stake in Anthropic. While tech giants like Amazon and Google get most of the attention for their multi-billion-dollar investments, Zoom made a highly successful early-stage bet on the AI startup that has quietly turned into a massive windfall.

How Much Did Zoom Invest?

Through its investment arm, Zoom Ventures, the company made an initial strategic investment of approximately $51 million in Anthropic in May 2023. At the time, the deal was primarily positioned as a partnership to integrate Anthropic’s Claude AI models directly into Zoom’s software architecture. Zoom later followed this up with an additional private investment of about $46 million.

How Much is Zoom’s Stake Worth?

In a regulatory filing, Zoom officially disclosed that its minority stake in Anthropic was valued at $1.27 billion, representing an unrealized gain of over $1 billion from its initial investment.

However, because Anthropic’s private valuation has continued to skyrocket, Wall Street analysts view this as a moving target:

  • The Baseline Valuation: Zoom’s $1.27 billion valuation mark on its balance sheet was calculated from a prior Anthropic fundraising round that valued the AI startup at $380 billion.
  • The Current Trajectory: With Anthropic continuously raising capital—including a massive multi-billion-dollar round pushing its valuation toward the $900 billion to $1 trillion range—analysts at firms like Baird estimate that Zoom’s stake, even after accounting for dilution, is actually worth anywhere from $2 billion to $4 billion.

Why This Matters for Investors

While a $2 billion to $4 billion stake is relatively small on the balance sheets of trillion-dollar mega-caps like Google or Amazon, it is incredibly significant for a company of Zoom’s size.

With Zoom’s total market capitalization hovering around $27 billion (and roughly $7.8 billion of that sitting in pure cash), its Anthropic holding represents a massive percentage of its overall corporate value. Because retail investors cannot buy private shares of Anthropic directly, many in the stock market are treating Zoom as a unique, highly reactive “proxy stock” to gain indirect exposure to Anthropic’s pre-IPO growth.

Other Ways to Gain Exposure

Because Anthropic is not yet public, investors looking for exposure to the company have historically relied on a few indirect methods:

  • Publicly Traded Investors: As noted above, buying shares in Amazon or Alphabet is the most common way for public market investors to gain indirect exposure to Anthropic’s growth.
  • Investment Funds/ETFs: Some closed-end funds and investment trusts, such as the Baillie Gifford US Growth Trust, have gained exposure to Anthropic by investing in it while it remains private.
  • Pre-IPO Platforms: There are specialized, niche platforms that allow accredited or institutional investors to purchase private shares of companies before they go public. Additionally, some derivatives platforms (such as Kraken, in certain regions) have offered “pre-IPO perpetual” contracts, which allow traders to speculate on a company’s valuation before it officially lists.

IPO Status

Anthropic is widely expected to go public in the near future. While it has not yet completed an IPO, it is considered one of the most highly anticipated upcoming equity offerings alongside companies like OpenAI. Please note that market conditions and regulatory environments can influence the timing of these filings.

Disclosure: Author owns AMZN. No investment recommendations are expressed or implied.

Unveiling Cathie Wood’s Top Stock Picks: Insights into ARK’s Portfolio

Cathie Wood, born Catherine Duddy Wood in 1955, is a prominent American investor and the founder, CEO, and CIO of ARK Investment Management, LLC. With a career spanning over three decades, Wood has become known for her pioneering work in thematic investing strategies. Before founding ARK in 2014, she co-founded Tupelo Capital Management, a hedge fund that managed approximately $800 million in global thematic investments.

Wood’s investment philosophy revolves around identifying disruptive innovation and investing in companies at the forefront of technological advancements. She gained widespread attention for her bold investment strategies and has been dubbed by some as the “Queen of the Bull Market”. 

ARK Investment Management focuses on capturing disruptive innovation in the public equity markets, offering investment solutions such as ETFs, mutual funds, managed accounts, model portfolios, and UCITS . ARK’s investment approach combines top-down and bottom-up research to identify innovation early and capitalize on opportunities.

ARK Invest gained prominence for its active management of thematic ETFs, notably the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK). ARKK seeks long-term growth of capital by investing in companies at the forefront of disruptive innovation. The firm’s investment strategy encompasses innovative sectors such as artificial intelligence, genomics, fintech, and autonomous technology.

Regarding specific stocks, Wood has made bold predictions regarding Tesla’s (TSLA) stock price. Expressing optimism about Tesla’s future growth potential and has set ambitious price targets. Wood and her team at ARK Invest have a long-term price target of $2,000 for Tesla’s stock. Additionally, she has suggested that Tesla could potentially be worth more than $6,000 per share by 2027. Wood’s predictions are based on her belief in Tesla’s ability to dominate the market for “robotaxis” and the company’s potential to revolutionize various industries. Despite fluctuations in Tesla’s stock price, Wood remains optimistic about its long-term prospects and continues to invest in the company.

Price to Book Ratio: 8.69

PEG Ratio: 3.85

PE Ratio: 39.70

Price to Sales Ratio: 6.62

Forward PE Ratio: 42.48

ARK has invested in UiPath Inc. (PATH), a leading enterprise automation software company. As of the latest available data, UiPath is listed among ARK’s top holdings. This investment reflects ARK’s strategy of seeking opportunities in companies driving technological advancements and innovation in various sectors. UiPath’s position in ARK’s portfolio underscores its potential for long-term growth and disruption in the automation and robotics space.

Price to Book Ratio: 6.64

PEG Ratio: NA

PE Ratio: NA

Price to Sales Ratio: 9.94

Forward PE Ratio: 33.88

ARK has been notably bullish on Square Inc. (SQ), a financial services and mobile payment company. While specific details about ARK’s investment in Square may vary over time due to market fluctuations and portfolio adjustments, Square has been a significant holding in ARK’s portfolio. ARK has expressed confidence in Square’s potential for growth, particularly through its Cash App, which ARK believes could become a leading global consumer financial services provider.

Price to Book Ratio: 2.66

PEG Ratio: 240.39

PE Ratio: 13925.86

Price to Sales Ratio: 2.27

Forward PE Ratio: 18.95

ARK has been actively involved in investing in Roku Inc. (ROKU). According to SEC filings, ARK Investment Management LLC has periodically adjusted its holdings in Roku, indicating interest in the company. For instance, in December 2023, ARK reduced its stake in Roku by 12.7% during the third quarter of that year. Additionally, an SC 13G/A filing in January 2024 revealed that ARK Investment Management LLC held a 7.62% beneficial ownership in Roku Inc. While specific details about ARK’s current investment strategy and outlook for Roku may vary, these filings indicate ARK’s ongoing interest and activity in the company.

Price to Book Ratio: 3.92

PEG Ratio: NA

PE Ratio: NA

Price to Sales Ratio: 2.62

Forward PE Ratio: NA

ARK has shown interest in investing in Zoom Video Communications Inc. (ZM). In August 2023, Wood’s Ark Investment Management LLC funds acquired an additional 122,831 shares of Zoom, indicating a bullish stance on the company. Additionally, in June 2023, ARK funds purchased 53,958 shares of Zoom Video Communications, valued at $3.8 million. While specific details about ARK’s current investment strategy and outlook for Zoom may vary, these acquisitions suggest a positive sentiment toward the company.

Price to Book Ratio: 2.53

PEG Ratio: 21.41

PE Ratio: 32.11

Price to Sales Ratio: 4.48

Forward PE Ratio: 13.12

Wood is also known for her bullish predictions on Bitcoin’s price and has reiterated her belief that Bitcoin could reach $1.5 million by 2030. Wood’s optimistic outlook stems from her conviction in Bitcoin’s disruptive potential and its role as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement. She has previously stated that the base case for Bitcoin is $600,000, with a bullish case of $1.5 million by 2030. Wood’s predictions have drawn attention in the cryptocurrency space, with some investors closely monitoring her forecasts as they assess Bitcoin’s long-term potential. She continues to advocate for Bitcoin as a significant investment opportunity and a hedge against traditional financial risks.Bitcoin is currently priced above $60,000.

As a testament to her success, Wood has received numerous accolades and recognition for her contributions to the investment industry. She continues to actively manage ARK’s investment portfolios while also sharing her insights through various media appearances and presentations. She remains a key figure in the world of finance, admired for her innovative approach and dedication to disruptive technologies.

Throughout her career, Wood has demonstrated a keen ability to identify emerging trends and capitalize on them, leading to impressive returns for ARK’s investors. Despite occasional periods of volatility, she remains steadfast in her conviction about the long-term potential of innovation-driven companies. Wood’s influence extends beyond the financial world, as she is seen as a thought leader in innovation and technology investing.

Disclosure: Author had no positions in any of the above at the time the article was written.

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Online Meeting & Video Conferencing Stocks that Should Benefit from the Corona Virus

by Fred Fuld III

Businesses across the country have been changing their travel policies. Over the last several years, many companies with diverse geographical footprints have moved towards video conferencing instead of meetings in person, in order to save on travel, hotel, and car rental costs.

Now companies are stepping up their online meetings for the health and safety of their employees, due to the outbreak of the Coronavirus, also known as COVID-19.

There are several companies that will benefit from this massive change in how company employees interact with other employees, vendors, customers, suppliers, and others.

One example is Cisco Systems (CSCO), the large hardware and software network company. The company owns the web conferencing applications WebEx and Jabber. However, these divisions are only a small part of Cisco’s business. In the last month, the stock has dropped by over 22%. It trades at 13.5 times trailing earnings, and pays a dividend yield of 3.9%.

In terms of the purer plays, there are a couple stocks to choose from. LogMeIn (LOGM) is a collaboration service company that owns the popular GoToMeeting product, along with Join.me. However, the company has agreed to be acquired for $4.3 billion by the private equity companies Francisco Partners and Evergreen Coast Capital Corp., with the closing taking place sometime this year.

Then there is Zoom Video Communications (ZM), the remote conferencing company which offers its Zoom conferencing product. The company is generating earnings but has a nosebleed high forward price to earnings ratio of 256.

Other companies in this industry are similar to Cisco, in that the video conferencing makes up a small portion of their business. These include Alphabet’s (GOOG) (GOOGL) Google Hangouts, Microsoft’s (MSFT) Skype and Teams, Adobe (ADBE) Connect, and RingCentral (RNG).

Let’s hope the Coronavirus is eliminated quickly. But in the meantime, at least we have a way of communicating with each other without meeting in person.

Disclosure: Author owns MSFT.

Upcoming IPOs

by Fred Fuld III

Were you able to get any IPO shares of Zoom Video (ZM), Pinterest (PINS), or Greenlane (GNLN)? If you did, you made out like a bandit.

Zoom closed up 72% for the day. Pintrest was up over 23$. And Greenlane traded over 20% from its IPO price.

If you want to get in on one of these popular IPOs, try calling your broker. One brokerage firm will let you get in on an IPO as long as you qualify. The qualification is either an account with over $250,000 in assets OR an account with over 60 trades in the last 90 days.

Just because you are approved, doesn’t necessarily mean that you will get shares. The firm has to be part of the underwriting, and it has to have enough shares to distribute to all its interested clients.

So if you are looking for upcoming IPOs, here is a list:

HEALTH SCIENCES ACQUISITIONS CORP HSACU
SONIM TECHNOLOGIES INC SONM
CONVERSIONPOINT HOLDINGS, INC. CPTI
CORTEXYME, INC. CRTX
SOUTH PLAINS FINANCIAL, INC. SPFI
MILESTONE PHARMACEUTICALS INC. MIST
MAYVILLE ENGINEERING COMPANY, INC. MEC
APPLIED THERAPEUTICS INC. APLT
NEXTCURE, INC. NXTC
PARSONS CORP PSN
AXCELLA HEALTH INC. AXLA
DIAMOND EAGLE ACQUISITION CORP.
UBER TECHNOLOGIES, INC UBER
AGBA ACQUISITION LTD AGBAU
RED RIVER BANCSHARES INC RRBI
SO-YOUNG INTERNATIONAL INC. SY
ACT II GLOBAL ACQUISITION CORP. ACTTU
TREVI THERAPEUTICS, INC. TRVI
TRANSMEDICS GROUP, INC. TMDX
SCIPLAY CORP SCPL
BRICKTOWN BREWERY RESTAURANTS LLC BEER
IHEARTMEDIA, INC.
POSTAL REALTY TRUST, INC. PSTL

Maybe some of these will skyrocket, but be careful. Lyft (LYFT) has dropped substantially since its IPO price.

Disclosure: Author owns LYFT indirectly.